Waiting game

Mar 24, 2011

Wednesday was a day of rumors, hype and tension in the Capitol, with Brown considering any number of options to put his budget before California voters. Today may be even worse. But one thing is certain: Brown's task just got tougher: The latest PPIC poll shows that public support for a budget special election is slipping, not to mention voters' appetite for tax extensions.

 

From Capitol Weekly's John Howard: "Among Democrats, support has dipped from 73 percent two months ago to 64 percent now. Republican support, meanwhile, dropped from 55 percent to 34 percent. The decline in Republican support is all but certain to bolster opposition to Brown among GOP lawmakers…"

 

"Support has also declined since January for the package that voters would be considering —a five-year extension of temporary increases in income and sales taxes and the vehicle license fee to avoid additional budget cuts."

 
"Today, less than half (46 percent  all adults and likely voters) favor the governor’s proposal, a decline of 7 points among all adults and 8 points among likely voters."

 

A detailed announcement of the poll is available here. The full survey can be downloaded here.

 

The pressure mounts and the clock continues to tick on negotiations amid deadlines to get measures on the ballot, notes the LAT's Shane Goldmacher. "Budget negotiations took on a frantic pace Wednesday, as Gov. Jerry Brown continued to meet with legislators in hopes of striking an agreement.

 

“Time is running out, definitely,” Brown said. Increasingly, the governor is considering alternatives to seeking GOP support for a June ballot measure to renew temporary taxes. Thus far, no Republicans have agreed to his plan. His other choices include either a November ballot measure or using a legally questionable simple legislative majority to place a tax measure on the ballot."

 

"California Labor Federation chief Art Pulaski huddled in the governor’s office to talk strategy with administration staff Wednesday. As he walked out of the Capitol, Pulaski said he was skeptical of pursuing a fall ballot measure, which would require gathering hundreds of thousands of voter signatures to qualify an initiative."

 

If the GOP blocks a public vote on the state budget, what happens next? Inquiring minds -- including the Bee's Dan Morain's -- want to know.

 

"Two of the top political strategists in the state – former Sen. Jim Brulte, a Republican, and Democratic strategist Garry South – have prepared an analysis showing Republicans are in danger of losing more legislative and congressional seats in 2012."

 

"Not six months ago, California Republicans were trounced at the polls, losing every statewide office and managing to drop yet another seat in the Assembly."

 

Bad as it is, it could get worse, South and Brulte say. There are several reasons why: rapidly growing numbers of Asian and Latino voters reject their message. Redistricting could further isolate Republicans. A new open primary system will add to electoral uncertainty. Importantly, the GOP is showing an inability to raise money from California donors.

 

Now, we come to the other deficit, the one roiling California's Unemployment Insurance FundCapitol Weekly's Greg Lucas takes a look.

 

"It’s been called California’s other budget deficit. And it certainly hasn’t had near the attention of the state’s $25.4 billion budget gap between revenue and spending commitments. 

But it’s almost as dire."


California’s employer-paid Unemployment Insurance Fund is insolvent.


"The fund had a deficit of $10.3 billion in 2010, a deficit that is growing to what the state projects will be a $13.4 billion hole this year. Without increasing the amount of money businesses pay into the fund or reducing thebenefits paid to out-of-work former employees – or some combination of the two - the fund will stay insolvent."


“For the foreseeable future,” says the Legislative Analyst in an October 2010 report."

 

Controversy swirls over the new independent redistricting commission, with the panel fending off suggestions that it is hopelessly skewed toward Democrats. Jim Miller in the Press-Enterprise has the story.

 

"One of the five Republicans on the Citizens Redistricting Commission on Wednesday rejected suggestions by some GOP leaders that the panel is hopelessly skewed toward Democrats. In an article Tuesday, Republican redistricting expert Tony Quinn said the commission "has descended into a cesspool of corruption, and the promise of fair new districts has been compromised by brutal partisan politics instigated by the commission itself."

 

"The same day, state GOP chairman Tom Del Beccaro issued a statement that the panel's decision to hire a Berkeley-based firm to provide technical assistance to the commission "may very well undermine the trust of voters in this entire process."

 

"Wednesday, redistricting commissioner Jodie Filkins Webber, a Norco attorney and registered Republican, said she is "troubled by the...perception" of Quinn and others, but she said the concerns are overblown."

 

And from our "And You Thought Your Building Inspector Was Tough"  file, we turn to Canada to learn about an inspector, a vibrator and the law. 

 

"Sentencing has been delayed for a former Edmonton building inspector found guilty of interfering with a woman's vibrator during a home inspection."

 

"Last October, Robert Shostak was convicted of unlawfully being in a dwelling house, but the 55-year-old married father will have to wait until April 5 to learn his sentence."

 

"During the trial, the woman, who cannot be named under a publication ban, said she went into her bedroom because she felt Shostak, a building safety inspector, had been there too long. She discovered him coming out of the master bedroom closet and found her vibrator had been turned on."

 

"Judge Terry Clackson ruled Shostak initially had the right to be in the woman's northeast Edmonton home on Dec. 24, 2007, but he lost that right once he handled her vibrator."

 

Wonder if she passed inspection....

 

 

 

 


 
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