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May 28, 2009

Capitol Weekly takes a look at how we got into the budget mess we're in -- and challenges some of the key myths and assumptions in state budget reporting.

 

"Looking at the numbers, one might surmise that California is not in much of a crisis at all. In fact, new revenue estimates released by the Department of Finance this week place the state’s general fund revenues at $85.9 billion – nearly $4 billion higher than they were just five years ago.


"Even with the depleted funds caused by plunging home prices and a global economic slowdown, Gov. Schwarzenegger’s budget is still larger than his first budget in the 2004-05 budget year.

 

"But in that first budget year, state spending was at $79.8 billion. Over the next two years, state spending jumped by more than 21 percent, to more than $101.4 billion in the 2006-07 budget year. 

 

In the 2004-05 budget year, spending on K-12 schools was $30.3 billion. In 2009, it was $39.4 billion. But during that same period, K-12 enrollment stayed flat. In 2003-04, there were 6.3 million students in public schools. In 2007-08, there were 6.28 million students, according to stats from the state Department of Education. 

 

Other pieces of the budget have also skyrocketed since Schwarzenegger took office.Health and Human services spending has jumped dramatically during the Schwarzenegger years. In 2004, the state spent $24.6 billion on health programs. By 2009, that number jumped to $29.3 billion.


Most of that $4.7 billion increase has been in Medi-Cal. In 2004-05, the state spent $11.6 billion on Medi-Cal programs. In 2008-09, that spending was estimated to be more than $14.4 billion.


Capitol sources often point to increased use of Medi-Cal services as a major reason for increased state spending. “Caseload growth” is cited time and again in budget analyses of the state’s health care spending. But comparing the 2004 numbers with the current year, that growth in Medi-Cal is hard to see. The 2004 administration analysis of the health care budget found that “more than 6.8 million” Californians used Medi-Cal services – about the same number as the LAO estimates will use Medi-Cal in the current budget year."

 

Meanwhile, opposition is mounting to the govenror's proposed cuts.

 

"The poor, the sick and the people who help them survive paraded into the state Capitol to plead with lawmakers Wednesday to spare the programs Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has said must be slashed to tame California's $24.3-billion budget deficit," the LAT's Eric Bailey and Alexandra Zavis report.

 

"The governor, who was appearing at an event in Los Angeles, lamented that many of the most severe cuts might have been avoided if voters had approved a slate of ballot measures in the May 19 special election. That would have pumped nearly $6 billion into state coffers.

"I think that the people have spoken now. . . . They don't want to raise taxes," Schwarzenegger said. "That's why they voted no. . . . So we are jammed into a corner and we have to now act fiscally responsible."

 

The Merc's Karen de Sa looks at the govenror's proposal to cut CalWORKS. "

 

The governor's proposal would make California the only state in the nation to reject Temporary Assistance to Needy Families block grants, the federal program that allows states to draw funds as long as they impose strict time limits and work requirements on recipients.

Rejecting the $3.7 billion federal grant would save the state its matching portion of $1.8 billion. But it also would result in the loss of $600 million in federal stimulus funds — money economists and poverty watchers say is desperately needed to invigorate a moribund economy.

 

"As of late Wednesday afternoon, Schwarzenegger's proposal to eliminate CalWORKs appeared to be, if not dead on arrival in the Democrat-controlled Legislature, then on life support. Legislators from both parties signaled they would oppose a wholesale elimination of programs serving California's neediest, including CalWORKs and the Healthy Families insurance program for the children of the working poor."

 

Meanwhile, local governments have rallies with a new Web site, saveyourcity.net, to try to stop the state from borrowing $2 billion from local government coffers. The CC Times' Steve Harmon reports,  "At a day of rallies at the Capitol by a number of groups protesting cuts proposed by Schwarzenegger, county officials from across the state insisted that raiding county coffers will have a crippling effect on their ability to deliver services .

 

"The state is abdicating its role to provide safety-net services by its proposals to eliminate welfare and health insurance for children," said John Gioia, a Contra Costa County supervisor. "Low-income families will turn to counties for help just as we're struggling with cuts, decreases in our own revenues and delayed payments."

 

 

CW's John Howard takes a look at the likelihood, and the mechanics, of a constitutional convention. 

 

"Under current law, the constitutional convention is a two-step dance: Voters decide whether they want one, then the Legislature approves enabling legislation that sets it up. Constitutional conventions are a rarity in California. The first was during the fall of 1849 at Monterey, when delegates wrote the state constitution and created the structure of state government. A year later, California became the 31st state.

 

"The most visible of the efforts for a third constitutional is being mounted by the Bay Area Council, a San Francisco-based business coalition.  


“For 60 years, our organization has partnered with Sacramento to get things done. But now Sacramento is no longer a partner. It’s a stumbling block, it’s a place where ideas go to die,” said Council spokesman John Grubb. “Water crisis, prison crisis, health care crisis, transportation crisis – everywhere you look find a crisis and the common thread is state government.”


"Fourteeen states have automatic constitutional convention referenda in which voters periodically decide whether or not a constitutional convention should be called.


"The Council wants to place two propositions before voters simultaneously in November 2010."

 

Speaking of ballot-box battles, the Bee's Steve Weigand looks at the future of the gay marriage fight.

 

"With the ink barely dry on the California Supreme Court's decision upholding a ban on same-sex marriages, proponents are already preparing new political and legal efforts to overturn the ban.

 

But at least some pollsters and legal experts think those efforts may be too soon to have a good chance to succeed. "I think the pro-side would have a significant challenge in 2010," said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll. "I think it would be less of a challenge in 2012."

 

"Alarmed that University of California regents have raised executive salaries while boosting student fees, a group of state lawmakers Wednesday proposed stripping the UC system of its historic autonomy and giving legislators additional control," the LAT's PAtrick McGreevy reports.

 

"A constitutional amendment introduced by Sens. Leland Yee (D-San Francisco) and Gloria Romero (D-Los Angeles) and three others would give legislators the ability to set policy for the university, including limits on pay raises. To take effect, the measure must be approved by two-thirds of the Legislature and then submitted to voters as a statewide ballot measure.

 

And, in case you were wondering,  The attorney for former California Senate leader Don Perata said today that federal prosecutors in Sacramento have decided against filing criminal charges against his client, clearing the way for Perata's campaign for Oakland mayor next year.

 

"Perata attorney George L. O'Connell told The Associated Press that he received a letter from federal prosecutors in Sacramento saying they would not press charges.

 

"It's good news for us that justice has been done," O'Connell said. "To me, that is a plain indication that they have reached the same conclusion that we have been urging for five years, that Senator Perata did nothing wrong and this is not a case that should be prosecuted."

 

And finally, note to self: Don't mess with Lian Jiansheng . "A Chinese man was pushed off a bridge by an angry passer-by after his threat to commit suicide held up traffic for five hours, Chinese media reported on Saturday.

 

"Retired soldier Lian Jiansheng, 66, broke through a police cordon and reached out to shake the hand of would-be jumper Chen Fuchao before shoving him off the bridge.

 

"I pushed him off because jumpers like Chen are very selfish. Their action violates a lot of public interests," Lai was quoted as saying by the China Daily newspaper.

 

 

 

 


 
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