The revision thing

May 14, 2008

"Los Angeles Democrat Karen Bass vowed urgent action to address California's budget crisis Tuesday when she was sworn in as Assembly speaker, the first African American woman to lead a legislative body in U.S. history.

"Bass struck some of the few somber notes in a joyous celebration of the occasion, telling a chamber packed with well-wishers that "we have to respond to the current economic crisis the way we would a natural disaster."

 

That would make this an unnatural disaster, right?

"'We have to toss aside the boxes we put ourselves in and the labels we place on others and come together to get the job done,' Bass said."

 

Bass will have a shot at addressing the budget crisis as the ball lands in her court around noon today when the governor releases the May Revise, er, May Revision .  

 

"In his latest plan for closing a budget shortfall now estimated at $17.2 billion, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger will propose giving voters a choice between borrowing against the state lottery and paying more sales tax ," report Evan Halper and Jordan Rau for the Times.

 

 Or they can elect to sell their first born into slavery in the hinterlands of the Yukon Territory.

 

"The sales tax proposal is a turnabout by Schwarzenegger, who came to office as an anti-tax crusader and throughout his tenure has steadfastly insisted he would never consent to new taxes. In recent days, the administration repeatedly denied reports that it has been laying the groundwork for a sales-tax increase.

"Deep cuts in services would still be needed to balance the budget. According to advocates and lobbyists briefed by the administration, Schwarzenegger will propose reducing health services for the poor even further than he had suggested in January, in his initial spending plan.

"At the same time, he is walking away from some cuts he proposed then that triggered loud howls of protest.

"Schwarzenegger Communications Director Matt David said the latest proposal restores billions of dollars in school spending and abandons plans to close 48 state parks and release tens of thousands of prisoners early."

 

Nobody thought those plans were real, did they? 

 

"The governor's new plan, to be released today, has already drawn resistance from GOP lawmakers, who have pledged to vote against any new taxes."

 

But the selling the kid thing was expected to be discussed in caucus meetings later this week...

 

"The lottery proposal, according to David, would come before voters as early as November and hinges on administration estimates that California could borrow against future profits to generate as much as $15 billion over three years."

 

Hey, why not just put the entire budget on the ballot, and let us all get a summer vacation? 

 

The Chron's Matthew Yi reports : "The governor's plan calls for using about $5 billion of the lump sum to help reduce the projected $15.2 billion budget deficit. About $10 billion would be placed in a reserve that the governor wants to create to use during times of fiscal crisis as part of his proposed budget reform that he's been trumpeting up and down the state in recent months."

 

We're having a hard time seeing the Democrats swallowing a $10 billion reserve while health and human services is expected to face significant cuts. 

 

The Merc's Steve Geissinger reports that some lawmakers have other state assets in mind to sell off in efforts to help close the budget gap.  

 

"Lawmakers of both parties moved Tuesday toward making sale of unneeded state properties — not the lottery — a way to ease painful cuts in services as a result of next year's huge budget deficit.

 

"The Senate Governmental Organization Committee said it wants to rapidly obtain the information, then report back to the Democratic and Republican caucuses in the upper house for budget strategy purposes.

 

"Though Democrats hold the majority in the Legislature, minority Republicans can delay approval of a spending plan because of the two-thirds vote requirement.

 

"GOP Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is expected to unveil a revised plan today for dealing with a deficit that has grown to as much as $20 billion. The governor is expected to incorporate leasing of the state-run lottery to blunt what will still likely be broad, deep cuts in government.

 

"Sen. Dean Florez, a Fresno-area Democrat who heads the Senate government committee, said he would rather "sell our surplus property, before we sell or lease the lottery."

Still no takers on this whole first-born thing? We thought the plan was brilliant... 

 

The Bee's Kevin Yamamura sets the stage for the difficult negotiations ahead .  "Schwarzenegger lost his chief Democratic ally Tuesday when Fabian Núñez stepped down as Assembly speaker. His relationship with Senate President Pro Tem Don Perata has been strained."

 

Like carrots.

 

"The governor also has little sway with his fellow Republicans, who held out last year for 52 days before providing the necessary votes to approve a less problematic budget. He has frustrated the conservative GOP by striking deals with Democrats without Republican support and telling his own party that it is "dying at the box office."

"Schwarzenegger recently rankled some rural legislators by suggesting they lacked a worldview necessary to tackle major public works problems because they hail from "those little towns."

"Another problem is that Schwarzenegger lacks strong relationships with individual lawmakers, said Sen. Sheila Kuehl, D-Santa Monica. She was engaged in negotiations last year on health care that ultimately died in her Senate Health Committee.

"The governor has been less hands-on than his predecessors, she noted, describing him as 'much more standoffish and relying on pronouncements.'

 

"'I think he has lost influence with legislators since his (2003) election,' Kuehl said. 'He came in with an enormous amount of good will, and I think an enormous amount of expectations on the part of legislators that he would be a person who would roll up his sleeves with us and see what could be done. Instead, over the years, we were pretty much handed his ideas with very little flexibility on his part.'

 

"From a transactional view, however, Schwarzenegger still has unique powers at his disposal. He can promise funding for projects in lawmakers' districts and offer appointments in exchange for a budget vote. He can look favorably on a legislator's priority bills.

 

"The governor, who continues to attract media attention as a celebrity, also could promise political support in future elections. Or he could travel to legislators' districts and criticize them. In 2004, for instance, he held rallies at shopping malls and once attacked legislators as "girlie men."

 

"'Governors always have clout no matter how many times legislators may proclaim a governor is irrelevant,' said Tim Hodson, director of the Center for California Studies at California State University, Sacramento.

 

"Schwarzenegger spokesman Aaron McLear would not describe the governor's negotiating plans but said he considers legislators his 'partners.'"

 

Silent, puny, insignificant partners. 

 

Meanwhile, the smut peddlers of California are desperately trying to fend off a new tax on their industry, reports the OC Register's Doug Irving.

 

"Sex shops and strip clubs would have to pay an extra 25 percent tax on their sales and services under a proposed state law meant to offset the costs of allowing such businesses into a community.

 

"But California's $4 billion-a-year adult industry has attacked the proposal by Assemblyman Charles Calderon, D-Montebello, as unconstitutional and based more on opinion than on fact. Adult-business owners in Orange County say the tax would put strippers out of business and break sex shops that already must abide by strict rules about where they can operate.

 

"'I don't know how this business has any kind of bad reputation,' said Jerry Tatarian, the manager of the Flamingo Theater, a strip club in Anaheim. 'You walk in here on your own free will. We don't show anything outside. We're just a regular business.'

 

"'Twenty five percent?' he added. 'What's he trying to do, become a partner?'"

 

Dan  Walters writes that it'll be another year full of gimmicks

 

"Tapping into the lottery (and selling EdFund, a state student loan guarantee operation, which is already in the works) sound like pain-free approaches that spending advocates on the left and tax opponents on the right might embrace, as does another move floating around the Capitol, selling the State Compensation Insurance Fund, a state-owned workers' compensation insurer.

 

"All, however, would essentially be gimmicks aimed at postponing the day of fiscal reckoning, perhaps long enough for a movie star-turned-politician to end his term without biting the big bullet. And, by the way, those who propose "temporary" tax increases are also in gimmick mode; one-time and/or temporary injections of cash don't really close a permanent, structural gap."

 

Well, at that rate, Dan, you're going to build consensus to double the newspaper tax. Oh, wait. That won't work. Nobody buys newspapers... 

 

But hey, this is California, man, where budget gimmicks are about as newsworthy as Barry Bonds indictments

 

"How such stopgaps would work politically is also uncertain. Schwarzenegger himself has said, for instance, that voters would have to approve any alteration in the state lottery, since it was created by a voter-approved initiative in the 1980s. And any change in the lottery could face potentially stiff opposition from powerful education groups (since the lottery's net proceeds now go to schools) and from casino-owning Indian tribes that don't want more competition.

"One thing is certain: Schwarzenegger will renew his demands for long-term budget reforms as part of any budget deal. But what he /wants has already been rejected by Democratic legislative leaders and their allies, including the school unions, which are just as implacable on that point as Republican lawmakers are in opposing new taxes.

"It could be a long summer."

 

"The president of EdFund on Tuesday said a severance package drafted for him and six other executives was "not an exit strategy," but meant to retain key managers during the state's anticipated sale of the student loan guarantor program," reports Judy Lin in the Bee.

 

"Responding to a story Tuesday in The Bee about a severance package worth more than $3 million, Sam Kipp, president of the Rancho Cordova-based public benefit nonprofit corporation, said the executive staff drafted "boiler-plate samples" for the EdFund board to consider.

"'We were directed by the board to develop a draft sample based on standard provisions that may be out there,' Kipp said in an phone interview. 'But there was never an expectation that that draft would be definitive. It was simply a starting point for discussion.'

 

"According to a copy of the proposed severance agreement obtained by The Bee, Kipp and other members of EdFund's executive staff would be each entitled to two years' worth of salaries, bonuses and medical coverage if the sale of EdFund goes through. They would be entitled to as much as $20,000 each to help them find new jobs. EdFund would also be on the hook for any tax they would have to pay the state and federal governments."

 

And as the campaign season heats up, some legislative campaigns are taking to the airwaves, rolling out big time backers in front of the voting public. Take, for example, the Sacramento-area 8th Assembly District, where Christopher Cabaldon has unveiled a new television spot revealing the support of, well, a talking owl.    

 

Here's  a breakdown of the Top 10 Independent Expenditure donations from yesterday, courtesy of ElectionTrack.com:

 

California Alliance For Progress And Education    Isadore Hall (Support)    $185,173    

 

California Dental Association Independent Expenditure Pac    John J. Benoit (Support)    $46,725    

 

Opportunity Pac Joe Nation  (Oppose)    $32,967    

 

Opportunity Pac Greg Pettis (i) (Oppose) $22,220

 

California Real Estate Independent Expenditure Committee    Wilmer Amina Carter (Support)    $12,998

 

California Alliance For Progress And Education    Stuart Waldman (Support)    $11,714    

 

Fair Public Policy Coalition Carole Migden (Support)    $9,089

 

Doctors Of Optometry For Better Health Care    Scott Kamena (Support)    $8,797    

 

Californians For Balance And Fairness In The Civil Justice System, Marty Block (Support)    $4,724    

 

California Credit Union League Pac    Norma Torres (Support)    $2,500    

Ok, Ok. We've come to our senses. We have shelved our selling your kids to close the state budget gap plan, and decided to back the sale of unclaimed property to help out the state coffers. Which brings us to this story from the Associated Press.

 

"An immigrant family left a 23-month-old boy in the Vancouver airport and learned he was missing only when contacted during the next leg of the trip.

 

"Jun Parreno, the boy's father, told The Vancouver Sun the mix-up occurred Monday as he, his wife and two grandparents of the child, J.M., were scrambling between their arrival in Canada and a connecting flight to Winnipeg on Air Canada.

 

"Running late after having to unpack and repack all their luggage, "we had 10 minutes before boarding," said Parreno, who was emigrating with his family from the Philippines. "We were running for the gate."

 

"He said he thought his son was with the three other adults, who were running to the gate ahead of him, and they thought the little boy was with him."

 

Hey, that qualifies as unclaimed property, right? 

 

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